Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1971 |
KOL
3 - 2
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
ARB
1 - 0
KOL
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 0
KOL
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1971 |
KAI
2 - 0
S04
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
ROT
4 - 2
KAI
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1971 |
KAI
2 - 1
HAN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
KAI
2 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
5 - 0
KAI
82%
12%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |