Champions League 1/16
Global 5-2
Köln vs ÍA Akranes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 0
FCN
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
KAI
1 - 1
KOL
36%
25%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 1
DAR
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
EBT
1 - 0
KOL
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
IAA
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
IAA
0 - 0
IBV
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
KEF
2 - 2
IAA
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
IAA
5 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
FRA
0 - 2
IAA
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |