Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
RTV
2 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
1 - 1
KOL
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
VFR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
ERZ
70%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STP
2 - 3
HER
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
SVS
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ING
1 - 1
HER
17%
22%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
EBT
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |