Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
EIN
1 - 4
KOL
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
STU
1 - 2
KOL
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 1
MSV
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
EBT
3 - 1
KOL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
HER
1 - 3
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
HER
2 - 1
S04
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
HER
3 - 3
BYM
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1971 |
KAI
2 - 0
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |