Köln vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
13º
1º
32
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
68.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
KOL
20%
21%
60%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
GRO
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SGF
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
KOL
33%
23%
43%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 0
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
DAR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 2
MAG
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 1
HAN
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 1
KSC
36%
24%
41%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |