Köln vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 3
KOL
24%
20%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 3
BVB
74%
15%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
FCN
3 - 0
KOL
47%
22%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 0
HSV
50%
20%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 1
PAN
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
HAN
2 - 0
BVB
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
HAN
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
HAN
2 - 1
STU
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
NEU
2 - 1
HAN
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
KSC
2 - 3
HAN
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |