Europa League Last 16
Global 4-3
Köln vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1985 |
KOL
0 - 1
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
RTV
2 - 0
KOL
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
HIF
2 - 1
KOL
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
F95
1 - 3
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
HIF
2 - 1
KOL
47%
21%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
STM
1 - 2
HIF
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
3 - 3
STM
56%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TRE
2 - 3
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
4 - 0
OFK
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |