Köln vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
KOL
3 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
EIN
1 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1971 |
ARS
2 - 1
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
S04
3 - 1
HSV
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
HSV
0 - 0
ROT
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 2
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1971 |
HSV
5 - 2
KAI
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |