Europa League 1/16
Global 5-2
Köln vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
F95
2 - 4
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
HSV
2 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
KOL
2 - 0
S04
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
GKS
1 - 1
KOL
30%
23%
48%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
BYM
4 - 1
KOL
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
NEX
3 - 2
GCZ
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
GCZ
8 - 2
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HIB
0 - 2
GCZ
29%
22%
48%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SIO
1 - 3
GCZ
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
GCZ
7 - 0
HIB
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |