Köln vs Gohfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.6%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.3%
6-0
7.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
+6
9.3%
5-0
11%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
14.1%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
3.7%
1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
VAF
1 - 6
KOL
8%
15%
78%
|
86 | 8 | 78 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
KOL
1 - 0
OFC
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
F95
2 - 0
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
KOL
2 - 3
ARB
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
KOL
1 - 0
KÖL
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gohfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
FSV
2 - 0
GOH
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
GOH
2 - 1
FVG
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |