Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Köln vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 2
KAI
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
DAR
0 - 1
KOL
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
KOL
3 - 1
EBT
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
KOL
1 - 2
STU
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
HER
0 - 2
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
HOM
3 - 2
GLA
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
GRE
0 - 2
GLA
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
GLA
1 - 0
STM
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
GLA
5 - 3
HOM
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |