Köln vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
OFC
0 - 1
KOL
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
KOL
2 - 1
EIN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
KOL
3 - 0
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
MON
3 - 1
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
KOL
1 - 1
TEN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 3
KSC
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
HAN
3 - 1
KÖL
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |