Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
BVB
2 - 2
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
KFC
0 - 1
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
KOL
0 - 1
IPS
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
KOL
2 - 3
MON
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1981 |
F95
0 - 2
KAI
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 1
F95
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
F95
0 - 1
MSV
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
RTV
2 - 1
F95
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
F95
2 - 1
MUN
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |