Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 1
STP
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
STU
3 - 0
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 0
KSC
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 1
KAI
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
55%
21%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
F95
1 - 1
RTV
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
STP
2 - 1
F95
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
F95
3 - 1
EBT
59%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
F95
1 - 0
STU
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
KAI
3 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |