Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
WHE
3 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
KOL
1 - 1
S04
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
HAM
2 - 2
KOL
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
KOL
4 - 2
SWE
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
PRE
0 - 6
KOL
43%
24%
32%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
DUI
1 - 0
F95
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
F95
1 - 1
MON
77%
13%
10%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
SWE
0 - 1
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
F95
2 - 2
HAM
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
VIK
4 - 2
F95
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |