Europa League Last 16
Global 5-2
Köln vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
TEN
2 - 3
KOL
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
KOL
44%
22%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
KOL
0 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
MON
1 - 1
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
KOL
3 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
KOL
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
5 - 0
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
3 - 0
GÓR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
GÓR
2 - 2
PAR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |