Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1966 |
BYM
1 - 4
KOL
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
KOL
5 - 1
HSV
55%
21%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 2
KOL
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
KOL
2 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
KSC
2 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1966 |
FCN
4 - 1
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
BYM
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
STU
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 1
KAI
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 2
FCN
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |