Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 2
FCN
60%
18%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
KOL
68%
17%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
KOL
4 - 1
EBT
81%
11%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 2
KOL
30%
24%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 2
KOL
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 2
FCN
60%
18%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
FCN
0 - 0
STU
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
FCN
4 - 0
BVB
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
KAI
3 - 1
FCN
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |