Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SGF
0 - 0
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
SVS
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
KOL
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 2
KOL
11%
19%
69%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 1
F95
44%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 1
COT
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KAI
2 - 1
ERZ
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
VFR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
OSN
3 - 0
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SVS
49%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |