Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 3
KOL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
KOL
3 - 0
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
SGF
0 - 1
KOL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
MUN
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 0
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WAC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
ERZ
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |