Köln vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
WAC
1 - 3
KOL
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
KOL
1 - 1
AUG
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
EIN
3 - 1
KOL
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
KOL
2 - 2
KAI
44%
24%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
OFC
2 - 0
KOL
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
EBT
1 - 0
CZJ
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
CZJ
2 - 3
OFC
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
CZJ
0 - 2
AUG
40%
25%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
KAI
0 - 0
CZJ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CZJ
0 - 2
WAC
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |