Champions League 1/16
Global 5-8
Köln vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BVB
2 - 3
KOL
64%
17%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
KOL
3 - 0
MSV
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
DUN
8 - 1
KOL
76%
13%
10%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
VIK
1 - 2
KOL
49%
21%
30%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
KOL
3 - 0
F95
79%
13%
9%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1962 |
DUN
2 - 2
ABE
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
DUN
8 - 1
KOL
76%
13%
10%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |