Europa League Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Köln vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
KOL
4 - 0
WUP
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
KOL
4 - 0
HSV
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
STU
2 - 0
KOL
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
AMS
2 - 3
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
F95
5 - 2
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
MON
5 - 2
OFC
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
MON
3 - 1
F95
80%
12%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
RTV
0 - 0
MON
21%
22%
56%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
MON
3 - 1
BAN
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
MON
1 - 1
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |