Köln vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1969 |
KOL
3 - 3
BRE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
EBT
2 - 1
KOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
KOL
4 - 1
HSV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
BYM
1 - 0
KOL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
FCB
4 - 1
KOL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1969 |
BVB
3 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
HER
0 - 0
BVB
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
2 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
BVB
0 - 1
BYM
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
STU
2 - 2
BVB
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |