Europa League 1/32
Global 5-1
Köln vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
HSV
1 - 1
KOL
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1972 |
KOL
4 - 1
MSV
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
S04
5 - 2
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1972 |
HAN
1 - 4
KOL
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1972 |
KOL
4 - 1
S04
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
ZLI
2 - 2
BOH
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
BOH
1 - 2
ZLI
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |