Köln vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
HSV
6 - 0
KOL
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
HER
2 - 0
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
0 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
RTV
1 - 0
HER
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
STU
2 - 0
RTV
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
KFC
4 - 2
RTV
41%
23%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
EBT
1 - 0
RTV
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
RTV
3 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |