Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
85.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
18º
17º
72
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RTV
1 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
AUG
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 2
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RBL
6 - 0
KOL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 2
HEI
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
BYM
2 - 1
GAL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
0 - 4
BYM
19%
19%
62%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SAA
2 - 1
BYM
1%
5%
95%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BYM
8 - 0
DAR
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |