Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
KSC
0 - 2
KOL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
2 - 1
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ZWE
1 - 5
KOL
8%
14%
78%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BYM
4 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BVB
1 - 1
BYM
20%
23%
56%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
BYM
2 - 2
HSV
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ERF
3 - 4
BYM
11%
20%
69%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 1
BYM
10%
16%
74%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |