Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
EIN
1 - 2
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
KOL
1 - 0
RTV
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
KOL
3 - 0
BRE
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
MON
3 - 1
KOL
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
KOL
2 - 2
KAI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
BYM
5 - 0
AND
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 0
F95
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 2
BYM
28%
25%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
S04
2 - 2
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
BYM
1 - 0
STU
71%
17%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |