Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
KOL
8 - 4
TEN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
EBT
4 - 2
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 2
FCN
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
KOL
2 - 2
F95
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
EIN
4 - 0
KOL
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1977 |
BYM
1 - 0
DYN
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
BYM
1 - 1
RTV
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
HER
4 - 2
BYM
37%
24%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
TEN
3 - 1
BYM
23%
22%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
BYM
1 - 0
HER
75%
14%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |