Köln vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1995 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
HSV
0 - 4
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
KOL
0 - 3
MSV
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
MON
0 - 0
KOL
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1995 |
KOL
2 - 0
SCF
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 0
BYM
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
LEV
0 - 2
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1995 |
KSC
2 - 4
LEV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
LEV
3 - 1
HSV
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
S04
3 - 2
LEV
31%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |