Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Köln vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 1
MSV
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
EIN
1 - 2
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
RAN
0 - 3
KOL
40%
24%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
RAN
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CCF
2 - 1
FCB
27%
30%
43%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCB
4 - 1
DEP
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCB
40%
28%
32%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MAL
0 - 3
FCB
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |