Europa League 1/32
Global 5-2
Köln vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
KSC
3 - 1
KOL
22%
24%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
67%
18%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
EBT
0 - 0
KOL
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
B19
1 - 2
DYN
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
DYN
1 - 0
B19
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
AIK
1 - 1
B19
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
B19
2 - 1
AIK
39%
21%
40%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
CEL
3 - 0
B19
94%
4%
2%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |