Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MON
0 - 2
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
KAI
1 - 1
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
KOL
3 - 0
STU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
MSV
1 - 0
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
ARB
3 - 0
KSC
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
BVB
3 - 0
ARB
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
KAI
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
EBT
3 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |