Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
Köln vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
BVB
1 - 1
KOL
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1968 |
ADO
0 - 1
KOL
53%
22%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 1
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
KOL
1 - 1
BYM
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
STU
6 - 1
KOL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ADO
1 - 1
GAE
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
GRO
1 - 0
ADO
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1968 |
ADO
0 - 1
KOL
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 1
ADO
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 0
AZA
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |