Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
EBT
1 - 1
KOL
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
KOL
2 - 1
LUB
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
RWA
0 - 0
KOL
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
KOL
3 - 2
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
1 - 3
KOL
8%
17%
75%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 2
SGF
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SCF
4 - 0
FCU
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FCU
4 - 2
STP
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
REU
0 - 1
FCU
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCU
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |