1º Dezembro vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 1
USA
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
1DE
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
1DE
3 - 1
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
1DE
0 - 0
BEL
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
1DE
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
LEX
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAF
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 3
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |