1º Dezembro vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
82.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
SCP
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
RIO
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
SCP
3 - 1
BMA
72%
18%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |