1º Dezembro vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
10º
20
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
1DE
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
1DE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 4
ALV
28%
28%
45%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
PAÇ
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 3
ATL
23%
25%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 2
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
PER
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 5
OLI
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |