1º Dezembro vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
10º
20
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
1DE
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
1DE
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 4
ALV
28%
28%
45%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
PAÇ
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 3
ATL
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 2
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
PER
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 5
OLI
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |