1º Dezembro vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RED
2 - 6
1DE
4%
12%
84%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 2
OLH
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
1DE
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
1DE
0 - 0
IDE
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 1
1DE
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
OLH
3 - 1
MOU
66%
20%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MOU
3 - 3
IDE
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
MOU
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 2
SAC
25%
28%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FER
2 - 6
MOU
41%
23%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |