1º Dezembro vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
0 - 0
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
1DE
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 3
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FAT
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOU
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 2
PIN
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |