1º Dezembro vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 0
FCB
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 2
SLB
8%
20%
73%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
2 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAS
34%
29%
37%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
ORI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
LOU
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCB
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
ORI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |