1º Dezembro vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
1DE
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
1DE
4 - 4
PRA
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
1DE
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
OEL
1 - 3
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 0
IDE
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
OPE
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 2
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |