1º Dezembro vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 1
1DE
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
1DE
0 - 1
PRA
18%
24%
58%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 2
1DE
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 1
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 4
1DE
19%
20%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
RED
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
IDE
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
OLH
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 0
IDE
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 0
IDE
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |