1º Dezembro vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
1DE
2 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAF
4 - 1
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 0
ELE
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 0
1DE
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 3
LOU
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAL
79%
16%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
CAL
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
MAF
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |