1º Dezembro vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.8%
72.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
1DE
2 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
1DE
2 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
1DE
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 0
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SLB
4 - 0
FEI
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NAP
4 - 2
SLB
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
SLB
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |