1º Dezembro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
10º
9º
6
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 1
OLI
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 1
USA
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
1DE
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
1DE
3 - 1
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
1DE
0 - 0
BEL
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 1
TOR
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |