1º Dezembro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
10º
32
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 2
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
1DE
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
1DE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 4
ALV
28%
28%
45%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
PAÇ
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
ACA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 4
ACA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 2
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |