1º de Maio vs Serrano PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
PET
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
MAI
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
ISC
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PES
1 - 2
MAI
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
YPI
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Serrano PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AEB
3 - 0
SER
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SER
0 - 4
CAR
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
6 - 1
SER
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
PET
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PES
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
13%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |