Caledonian Braves vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
12º
10º
33
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CFC
4 - 4
CBF
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUM
4 - 1
CBF
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CBF
3 - 1
CIV
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CBF
1 - 0
CWB
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CBF
2 - 4
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DAL
2 - 2
THE
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
THE
0 - 3
CFC
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
THE
0 - 1
GAL
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
THE
1 - 0
BFC
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 1
THE
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |